{"id":13850,"date":"2025-01-25T18:54:44","date_gmt":"2025-01-25T17:54:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/?page_id=13850"},"modified":"2025-01-25T18:55:27","modified_gmt":"2025-01-25T17:55:27","slug":"konference-predpovezene-katastrofy-soucasne-katastrofy","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/konference-predpovezene-katastrofy-soucasne-katastrofy\/","title":{"rendered":"Konference \u201eP\u0159edpov\u011bzen\u00e9 katastrofy, sou\u010dasn\u00e9 katastrofy\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"13850\" class=\"elementor elementor-13850\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-359c623 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"359c623\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-a96454f\" data-id=\"a96454f\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1ba24ee elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1ba24ee\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.17.0 - 08-11-2023 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">N\u00e1r\u016fst nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fdch dopad\u016f p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch katastrof v posledn\u00edch letech v cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b je \u010dasto d\u00e1v\u00e1n do souvislosti s dopady klimatick\u00e9 zm\u011bny. Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00ed panel pro klimatickou zm\u011bnu (IPCC) vydal ned\u00e1vno zpr\u00e1vu pod n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u0158\u00edzen\u00ed rizik extr\u00e9mn\u00edch jev\u016f a katastrof za \u00fa\u010delem adaptace na klimatickou zm\u011bnu (SREX)\u201c. Pro hled\u00e1n\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed dopad\u016f nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch a jin\u00fdch katastrof, a zejm\u00e9na strategi\u00ed adaptac\u00ed na klimatickou zm\u011bnu v souvislosti a n\u00e1r\u016fstem katastrof, uspo\u0159\u00e1dal Francouzsk\u00fd n\u00e1rodn\u00ed v\u00fdbor pro omezov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1sledk\u016f katastrof (AFPCN) spole\u010dn\u011b s UNESCO dne 12. 12. 2011 v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei konferenci \u201eP\u0159edpov\u011bzen\u00e9 katastrofy, sou\u010dasn\u00e9 katastrofy\u201c.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Konference, kterou zah\u00e1jil \u0161\u00e9f sekce UNESCO pro sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed katastrof B. Rouhban, se za \u00fa\u010dasti 80 odborn\u00edk\u016f z Francie i dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed zab\u00fdvala obecn\u00fdmi ot\u00e1zkami sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1sledk\u016f katastrof od probl\u00e9m\u016f v\u010dasn\u00e9ho varov\u00e1n\u00ed a\u017e po matematick\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje. N\u00e1sledovaly t\u0159i \u201ekulat\u00e9 stoly\u201c, z nich\u017e prvn\u00ed se podrobn\u011b zab\u00fdval v\u00fd\u0161e uvedenou zpr\u00e1vou IPCC o adaptac\u00edch SREX. Autor na n\u011bm prezentoval sou\u010dasnou situaci ve v\u00fdzkumu mo\u017en\u00fdch dopad\u016f klimatick\u00e9 zm\u011bny na \u010cR, v\u00fdsledky region\u00e1ln\u00edch model\u016f (zejm\u00e9na modelu ALADIN-Klima) v oblasti v\u00fdvoje teplot, sr\u00e1\u017eek i mo\u017en\u00fdch povodn\u00ed pro posledn\u00ed dvacetilet\u00ed i pro budouc\u00ed obdob\u00ed 2010\u20132039, 2040\u20132069 a 2070\u20132099. V\u00fdsledky zat\u00edm pro \u010cR ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k nar\u016fst\u00e1n\u00ed po\u010dtu zimn\u00edch povodn\u00ed a sp\u00ed\u0161e poklesu povodn\u00ed jarn\u00edch i podzimn\u00edch. Naproti tomu po\u010det letn\u00edch povodn\u00ed patrn\u011b z\u016fstane stejn\u00fd. Model ov\u0161em ukazuje st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vznik nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edvalov\u00fdch povodn\u00ed. Tento trend je mo\u017en\u00e9 pozorovat v posledn\u00edch t\u0159ech letech. Autor v\u0161ak zd\u016fraznil st\u00e1le velkou m\u00edru nejistoty t\u011bchto p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed (v ur\u010den\u00ed m\u00edsta, \u010dasu i rozsahu) a z\u00e1rove\u0148 upozornil, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edprava na budouc\u00ed povodn\u011b pr\u00e1v\u011b v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b nen\u00ed zbyte\u010dn\u00e1, ale naopak st\u00e1le aktu\u00e1ln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. P\u0159\u00edvalov\u00e9 povodn\u011b jsou krom\u011b obt\u00ed\u017e\u00ed s velkou nejistotou v\u00fdstrah nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 pro svou velkou rychlost, co\u017e zna\u010dn\u011b st\u011b\u017euje reakci org\u00e1n\u016f krizov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed i ob\u010dan\u016f. Krom\u011b neust\u00e1l\u00e9ho vylep\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdstra\u017en\u00e9 slu\u017eby a krizov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed je t\u0159eba p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm zlep\u0161ovat p\u0159ipravenost ob\u010dan\u016f na p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed a jin\u00e9 katastrofy.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Druh\u00fd \u201ekulat\u00fd st\u016fl\u201c byl v\u011bnov\u00e1n adapta\u010dn\u00edm politik\u00e1m dvou zem\u00ed \u2013 Francie a N\u011bmecka. Z\u00e1stupce \u010cR byl p\u0159izv\u00e1n k tomu, aby prezentoval hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1sady navrhovan\u00e9 adapta\u010dn\u00ed strategie v \u010cR. Jak Francie, tak i N\u011bmecko p\u0159ikl\u00e1daj\u00ed adaptac\u00edm velkou d\u016fle\u017eitost a ji\u017e nyn\u00ed maj\u00ed hotov\u00e9 nejen strategie, ale na rozd\u00edl od \u010cR i ak\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny pro jejich pln\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">T\u0159et\u00ed \u201ekulat\u00fd st\u016fl\u201c se zab\u00fdval rozvojem v\u00fdzkumu adaptac\u00ed na dopady klimatick\u00e9 zm\u011bny, spoluprac\u00ed ve v\u011bd\u011b v\u00a0Evrop\u011b a zejm\u00e9na zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00edm podpory t\u011bchto prac\u00ed a projekt\u016f ze strany org\u00e1n\u016f EU.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Z\u00e1v\u011bry z konference zd\u016fraznily nutnost v\u011bnovat souvislostem dopad\u016f klimatick\u00e9 zm\u011bny a mo\u017en\u00e9ho n\u00e1r\u016fstu katastrof ze strany st\u00e1t\u016f v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pozornost a rovn\u011b\u017e podporovat v\u00edce v\u00fdzkum jak na n\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u00farovni, tak v r\u00e1mci EU. Z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00fd projev pronesl p\u0159edseda AFPCN a \u010dlen francouzsk\u00e9ho parlamentu Ch. Kert. Konference byla velmi dob\u0159e zorganizov\u00e1na a prob\u011bhla v p\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed centr\u00e1ly UNESCO.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed den se konalo zased\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1stupc\u016f Evropsk\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b n\u00e1rodn\u00edch platforem pro omezov\u00e1n\u00ed katastrof (ENNP), kter\u00e9ho se z\u00fa\u010dastnily delegace n\u00e1rodn\u00edch platforem z Francie, N\u011bmecka, Polska a \u010cR. Prvn\u00edm bodem programu bylo shrnut\u00ed \u010dinnosti ENNP v posledn\u00edch dvou letech za francouzsk\u00e9ho p\u0159edsednictv\u00ed. Jako jeden z dobr\u00fdch v\u00fdsledk\u016f bylo zm\u00edn\u011bno uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed workshopu o p\u0159\u00edvalov\u00fdch povodn\u00edch v listopadu 2010 v Praze.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Ukazuje se, \u017ee je t\u0159eba d\u00e1le roz\u0161i\u0159ovat vz\u00e1jemnou informovanost mezi \u010dlensk\u00fdmi platformami o jejich \u010dinnosti. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 byla zejm\u00e9na \u00fa\u010dast \u010dlensk\u00fdch platforem na evropsk\u00fdch projektech. Projedn\u00e1ny byly i vztahy ENNP s ostatn\u00edmi mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi organizacemi, p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm s ISDR, Evropsk\u00fdm f\u00f3rem pro sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1sledk\u016f katastrof EFDRR, d\u00e1le organizac\u00ed UNESCO, Sv\u011btovou meteorologickou organizac\u00ed, Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00edm panelem pro klimatickou zm\u011bnu IPCC apod.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Projedn\u00e1na byla i doporu\u010den\u00ed a z\u00e1v\u011bry z ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 konference EFDRR v makedonsk\u00e9m Skopje, r\u00e1mcov\u00e1 strategie na l\u00e9ta 2012\u20132015 schv\u00e1len\u00e1 na \u0159\u00edjnov\u00e9m jedn\u00e1n\u00ed ISDR a tak\u00e9 body spole\u010dn\u00e9ho programu ENNP na rok 2012. P\u0159edsednictv\u00ed ENNP se v roce 2012 ujme polsk\u00e1 platforma, kter\u00e1 p\u0159iprav\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v Krakov\u011b v b\u0159eznu 2012.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><em>Ivan Obrusn\u00edk, p\u0159edseda \u010cesk\u00e9ho n\u00e1rodn\u00edho v\u00fdboru,<\/em> pro omezov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1sledk\u016f katastrof, <em>Meteorologick\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy, ro\u010d. 65, 2012\/2<\/em><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>N\u00e1r\u016fst nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fdch dopad\u016f p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edch katastrof v posledn\u00edch letech v cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b je \u010dasto d\u00e1v\u00e1n do souvislosti s dopady klimatick\u00e9 zm\u011bny. Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00ed panel pro klimatickou zm\u011bnu (IPCC) vydal ned\u00e1vno zpr\u00e1vu pod [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-13850","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13850","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13850"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13850\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13854,"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13850\/revisions\/13854"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13850"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}