{"id":10963,"date":"2024-12-30T17:07:58","date_gmt":"2024-12-30T16:07:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/?page_id=10963"},"modified":"2024-12-30T17:09:09","modified_gmt":"2024-12-30T16:09:09","slug":"zchladte-hlavy","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/zchladte-hlavy\/","title":{"rendered":"Zchla\u010fte hlavy!"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"10963\" class=\"elementor elementor-10963\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-80b3aed elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"80b3aed\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-50f2522\" data-id=\"50f2522\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-023b514 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"023b514\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.17.0 - 08-11-2023 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<p><strong><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Skeptick\u00fd ekolog o glob\u00e1ln\u00edm oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p><strong><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Autor Bj\u00f8rn Lomborg. Praha: Doko\u0159\u00e1n 2008. 358 stran. ISBN 978-80-363-188-8. Doporu\u010den\u00e1 cena 399 K\u010d.<\/span><\/strong><\/p><p class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Na z\u00e1lo\u017ece \u010desk\u00e9ho vyd\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9 knihy B. Lomborga s fotografi\u00ed autora p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed filmovou megastar Brada Pitta se uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee naposledy v lednu 2008 podle odborn\u00e9 poroty den\u00edku Guardien se dostal na seznam \u201e50 lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed mohou zachr\u00e1nit planetu\u201c po boku Angely Merkelov\u00e9, Alberta Gora, Leonarda DiCapria nebo genetika Craiga Ventera. Person\u00e1ln\u00ed seskupen\u00ed je to bizarn\u00ed a absurdn\u00ed i pro \u00fakoly daleko snaz\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e je z\u00e1chrana planety. Ale za to B. Lomborg nem\u016f\u017ee, i kdy\u017e \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed probl\u00e9mu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed jako hlavn\u00ed t\u00e9ma knihy je mnoh\u00fdmi politick\u00fdmi a odborn\u00fdmi autoritami pova\u017eov\u00e1no za z\u00e1sadn\u00ed z\u00e1chrann\u00fd \u00fakol sou\u010dasnosti pro p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed lidstva.<\/span><\/p><p class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Argumentaci knihy shrnuje B. Lomborg do n\u011bkolika v\u00fdchodisek:<\/span><\/p><ul><li class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">1. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed existuje a \u010dlov\u011bk na n\u011bm m\u00e1 pod\u00edl (nebude m\u00edt ale \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 z on\u011bch charakteristik \u201ekonce civilizace\u201c, jak je v\u011bt\u0161inou vykresluj\u00ed m\u00e9dia).<\/span><\/li><li class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">2. Tvrzeni o t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch, neblah\u00fdch a okam\u017eit\u00fdch d\u016fsledc\u00edch glob\u00e1ln\u00edho oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed jsou \u010dasto krajn\u011b zveli\u010den\u00e1.<\/span><\/li><li class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">3. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed si vy\u017eaduje inteligentn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed (i velk\u00e9 a velmi drah\u00e9 zm\u011bny u\u010din\u011bn\u00e9 v sou\u010dasnosti budou m\u00edt na vzd\u00e1lenou budoucnost jen vcelku mal\u00fd a nev\u00fdznamn\u00fd vliv).<\/span><\/li><li class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">4. Existuje \u0159ada probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou mnohem d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/li><\/ul><p class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Z uveden\u00e9 citace vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee skeptick\u00fd ekolog B. Lomborg nepop\u00edr\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst teploty (jedna z hlavn\u00edch kapitol m\u00e1 n\u00e1zev otepluje se), ale li\u0161\u00ed se v interpretaci faktografie a zejm\u00e9na v naz\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed na realizaci \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed. Vyvrac\u00ed nap\u0159. teorii Al Gora vyv\u011braj\u00edc\u00ed ze zn\u00e1m\u00e9ho grafu o v\u00fdvoji teploty a koncentrac\u00ed CO<sub>2<\/sub> b\u011bhem minul\u00fdch 650 000 let v Antarktid\u011b. Na rozd\u00edl od Al Gora tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee koncentrace CO<sub>2 <\/sub>se pohybovaly v\u017edy a\u017e podle toho, kam se pohybovala teplota \u2013 nejprve vzrostla nebo klesla tato veli\u010dina, pak koncentrace CO2: zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed se pohybovala v rozmez\u00ed od 200 do 6 000 let. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed&#8230; \u201cproto\u017ee pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me fosiln\u00ed paliva a emitujeme uhl\u00edk, jsou nyn\u00ed koncentrace CO<sub>2<\/sub> nad jakoukoli \u00farovn\u00ed za posledn\u00edch 650 000 let\u201c (prom\u00edtaj\u00ed se zde i dal\u0161\u00ed civiliza\u010dn\u00ed vlivy, v\u010detn\u011b n\u00e1r\u016fstu populace). Je velk\u00fdm oponentem Kj\u00f3tsk\u00e9ho protokolu. V po\u0159ad\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch priorit tzv. Koda\u0148sk\u00e9ho konsenzu, kter\u00fd Lomborg od r. 2004 ve dvoulet\u00fdch cyklech organizuje, je jako \u0161patn\u00e9, resp. m\u00e1lo efektivn\u00ed a problematick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed uveden pr\u00e1v\u011b Kj\u00f3tsk\u00fd protokol. Jako p\u0159\u00edzna\u010dn\u00e9 uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee na zased\u00e1n\u00ed OSN o klimatu v roce 2006 v Nairobi prohl\u00e1sil z\u00e1stupce indick\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, \u017ee p\u0159ed Indi\u00ed je st\u00e1le \u0159ada probl\u00e9m\u016f rozvoje (50 % lid\u00ed nem\u00e1 elekt\u0159inu, 80 % m\u00e1 m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 2 dolary na den): \u201eStoj\u00edm p\u0159ed volbou bu\u010f zlep\u0161it osud chud\u00fdch Ind\u016f, nebo sni\u017eovat emise CO<sub>2<\/sub>, aby se rozvinut\u00e9mu sv\u011btu leh\u010deji d\u00fdchalo. Nem\u00e1m pen\u00edze na oboj\u00ed. \u201ePro Indii, \u010c\u00ednu i jin\u00e9 rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed zem\u011b lze probl\u00e9m jednodu\u0161e formulovat: omezov\u00e1n\u00ed emis\u00ed versus zaji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed potravin a rozvoje.<\/span><\/p><p class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">Na rozd\u00edl od jin\u00fdch autor\u016f (nap\u0159. V. Barros: Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bna klimatu. Praha: Mlad\u00e1 Fronta. 2006 [1]), nahl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed Lomborg na \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed probl\u00e9m\u016f spjat\u00fdch s glob\u00e1ln\u00edm oteplov\u00e1n\u00edm v rovin\u011b realistick\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed. P\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed zp\u016fsobuj\u00edc\u00edch zpomalen\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu (zchudnut\u00ed spole\u010dnosti) bude kontraproduktivn\u00ed a ve sv\u00fdch d\u016fsledc\u00edch neefektivn\u00ed. Emise CO<sub>2<\/sub> by se m\u011bly sni\u017eovat, sice v\u00edce, ne\u017e p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 nyn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed podoba Kj\u00f3tsk\u00e9ho protokolu bez USA, av\u0161ak st\u00e1le jen o 5 % zpo\u010d\u00e1tku a o 10 % na konci stolet\u00ed. \u201eP\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v\u0161ak bychom m\u011bli desetin\u00e1sobn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161it na\u0161e v\u00fddaje na v\u00fdzkum a v\u00fdvoj n\u00edzkoemisn\u00ed energie \u2013 0,05 % HDP \u010dili 25 miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b by n\u00e1m nakonec umo\u017enilo stabilizovat klima v p\u0159ijateln\u00e9m stavu.\u201c V tomto duchu formuluje tak\u00e9 deset ot\u00e1zek, resp. postul\u00e1t\u016f, v nich\u017e po\u017eaduje nejen p\u0159esnou formulaci probl\u00e9mu v\u010detn\u011b v\u0161ech mo\u017enost\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed anal\u00fdzy n\u00e1klad\u016f a p\u0159\u00ednos\u016f od ekonom\u016f, a to v\u0161e v kontextu s mo\u017enostmi \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed jin\u00fdch sv\u011btov\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f.<\/span><\/p><p class=\"rtejustify\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\">V nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed knize Lomborg rozv\u00edj\u00ed a aktualizuje to, co prezentoval ji\u017e ve Skeptick\u00e9m ekologovi (viz recenze [2]) a umn\u011b operuje a polemizuje s informacemi nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed provenience (pozn\u00e1mkov\u00fd apar\u00e1t m\u00e1 vice ne\u017e 1 000 odkazov\u00fdch polo\u017eek a mnoho stran citac\u00ed literatury). Asi nejv\u00edce polemizuje s knihou a filmem Al Gora Nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1 pravda, naopak s jist\u00fdmi v\u00fdhradami respektuje z\u00e1v\u011bry obsa\u017een\u00e9 ve \u010ctvrt\u00e9 hodnot\u00edc\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b IPCC z\u00a0roku 2007, zejm\u00e9na \u010d\u00e1sti obsahuj\u00edc\u00ed emisn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e SRES s projekc\u00ed klimatick\u00e9 zm\u011bny. Poselstv\u00ed knihy B. Lomborga zn\u00ed: Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed existuje, ale n\u00e1sledky se dramaticky zveli\u010duj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><em>Literatura<\/em><\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">[1] HORK\u00dd, Z., 2006.Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bna klimatu. Meteorologick\u00e9 Zpr\u00e1vy, ro\u010d. 59, \u010d. 6, s. 196.<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"color: #003366;\">[2] PRETEL, J., 2007. Skeptick\u00fd ekolog. Meteorologick\u00e9 Zpr\u00e1vy, ro\u010d. 60, \u010d. 2. s. 60\u201361.<\/span><\/p><p class=\"rteright\"><span style=\"color: #003366;\"><em>Zden\u011bk Hork\u00fd, MZ 2008\/3, ro\u010dn\u00edk 61, str. 85<\/em><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Skeptick\u00fd ekolog o glob\u00e1ln\u00edm oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed. Autor Bj\u00f8rn Lomborg. Praha: Doko\u0159\u00e1n 2008. 358 stran. ISBN 978-80-363-188-8. Doporu\u010den\u00e1 cena 399 K\u010d. Na z\u00e1lo\u017ece \u010desk\u00e9ho vyd\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9 knihy B. Lomborga s fotografi\u00ed autora [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-10963","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/10963","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10963"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/10963\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10967,"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/10963\/revisions\/10967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.cmes.cz\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}